El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
Crude oil prices have been slightly weaker as news of higher then expected US stockpiles and Saudi Arabia rule out slowing production. Also Palm oil production is up slightly which again was somewhat unexpected. This has all helped to push oils in general lower. Coconut oil is still hovering just over the $1200 level as the weakness from other edibles keep prices pinned back.
Desiccated prices rose in early February but seemed much more stable now. As Coconut oil continues to hover just above $1200 for several weeks now so this stability is being felt with desiccated. The real issue is though is lack of supply. Some Philippine shippers have sold out positions through till June so we are seeing prices from Sri Lanka and Indonesia increasing as they picked some over-spill in demand.
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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