El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
Weak crude oil prices have been impacting on edible oil prices all year but recent declines caused by Chinese stock slumps and world wide glut have pushed price even lower. However Coconut oil for now seems to be holding out against recent falls both in Palm and Soya. But with US reducing its oil capacity because of recent declines the prices the downside could be limited for now.
Desiccated prices have been weakening all year as supply improves and new capacity for products like VCO come online easing the strain on some of the existing mills. But new requirements for BRC 7 and SMETA Ethical audits have been costing both time and money for the first rate mills so keeping their costs up. Crops of raw nuts are expected to decline as earlier hot dry conditions start to impact but have yet to see this.
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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