El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
Palm oil prices has risen slightly on the news that April crops are down more then expected. There was a belief that the resurgence of Palm oil crops since January would slow down by April which is what we are seeing. However the slow down has been greater than expected which has shown in reduced stock during end of April. Whilst Soya continues to surge both in US and South America this might only keep Palm Oil prices in check. We now watch and wait with Ramadan starting in a couple of weeks will the normal drop off in workers mean an even greater drop in Palm oil stocks. Coconut oil continues track with other edible oils whilst trading within a relatively narrow band. Shipments from the Philippines are still relatively in line with last years if down a little.
Desiccated prices have been up recently on strong demand and continued production issues in the Philippines hampering supply. If edible oils have hit the bottom for now then its likely that prices could firm up as Ramadan hampers production in Indonesia as workers take time off during fasting. With June and July pretty much sold out prices could firm up even further if buying continues!
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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