El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
OK so you can take your pick of factors effecting the market this week and prices swing up and down. We have seen India impose higher import duties on Palm oil so pushing prices much lower. India remains worlds largest importer of edible oils. But no sooner had prices fallen then news of bio jet fuel along with currency pressure pushed prices back up again. However with lower exports and potentially recovering supply from La Nina could prices dip again. Just to add in next week Crude Oil may also get more support as OPEC could vote to extend output cuts. Coconut oil has edged higher following other edibles oils but for now seems to trade in quite a narrow band.
Desiccated prices had been slightly weaker as coconut oil dipped below the $1500 barrier however with prices back over the $1500 this weakens may be fading. No sign yet that crops in Indonesia are improving or that Sri Lanka prices are dropping from their high levels. Philippine shippers remain heavily sold for the first quarter but with new extra capacity some have yet to fully sell out. So for now pricing seems balanced its more a case of getting hold of supply.
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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