El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
OK so today crude oil prices have started to move up slightly on news that US production dipped in June lower then expected. Add in OPEC talk about prices and crude oil rose 8%. But for edible oils still the market is weaker as continued weak demand along with good crops and very high stocks all weigh the market down. But if crude has reached its bottom then maybe this may spill over into edible oils. For now though edible oils are predicted to be move even lower this week.
Desiccated prices have been tracking lower as they follow edible oil prices. But the weakness is not great as actual demand is strong at the moment helping to stop prices falling too far. But with September we move towards the strongest part of the typhoon season so watching the weather is key. Also if oils prices start to stabilize we should start to see strong buying interest well into next year!
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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