El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
Crude oil has been weaker in recent weeks as oversupply weighs down the market. However prices have been creeping up recently as inventories have been lower. But still oversupply will keep prices pegged lower. Palm Oil has failed this year to hit highs that were predicted at the beginning of the year. And whilst predictions are that forward prices will have to rise nearby positions remain much weaker. Coconut oil also seems to be tracking this nearby weakness at the moment. Although husked nut prices are rising at the moment as demand is picking up a little which might push into coconut oil prices.
Desiccated has been firming up recently on freight rates increases and heavy sales for nearby positions. Although good supply is keeping prices from going up too much. Expect prices to increase some more as further freight charges are brought in and as we start to see typhoons in the Philippines.
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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