El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
Palm oil has risen to a 2 year high as dry weather is limiting crops and as a result inventories have declined. Figures for March are expected show crops continuing to decline as stock is expected to be down month on month. However seasonal trends should mean that March production does increase slightly. France have voted in their additional palm oil tax as they seek raise revenues on what they see as an environmental poor edible oil. Coconut oil has continued to rise as all the edible oils have been pushed up because of Palm. Coconut oil is above $1400 and is expected to continue to climb following other oils.
Desiccated has moved up sharply as shippers are concerned about rising oil prices. Some shippers continue to be withdrawn and others are late with shipments already. Prices could climb even further if coconut oil moves above the $1500 level. Limited availability for nearby positions is only making the matter worse.
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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