El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
News out today that Palm oil stocks in Indonesia are to hit records high have done little to stabilize the market. Coupled with predication’s that crops could be set for record levels this year have all weakened an already low market. Just how much further can prices fall is not known but its showing no sign of stopping yet. But before the doom sets in one point to consider as the edible oil markets hit lows farmers switch to more profitable crops. Now concern is that if farmers switch and then crude oil starts to turn up we could see prices hit some big highs. This is more a medium turn predication but one thats on some traders minds because investors love a low market which can make that turn more pronounced.
Desiccated continues to track edible oils prices lower as supplies of raw nuts improve all the time. Just how long or low will prices head are unknown yet but with coconut oil nearing the $1000 for RDB oil some believe that prices cannot fall too much further. Coconut remains popular and with VCO sales growing greatly its thought that prices have some strong support along the way.
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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