El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
As we reach the middle of the year so we look to see whats happening with Palm oil crops. And yes as predicted crops do seem to be steadily improving. In fact some are now expecting a slow and steady improvement through now till the end of the year. With demand still strong prices are expected to decline but not greatly trading between a narrow-ish band. Obviously other factors like growing calls for more sustainable palm oil could push prices in either direction. Coconut has had a tough couple of weeks. American Heart Association statement clarifying that because coconut oil is high saturated fat its very unhealthy. And the basis for this reasoning? Well actually no new research in fact its just a review of previous research that agrees with the theory that Saturated fat is very bad. But as one commentator said interesting that this review ignores any research that disagrees with this theory. It does not even really acknowledge some recent studies into MCT diets and weight loss or research into Alzheimer’s. The reality is as always everything in moderation and beware organisations making bold statements they are rarely all they seem.
Desiccated remains very tight as demand outstrips supply for all the nearby positions. July and August are sold our for a number of the large Philippine shippers with supply tight from Indonesia. Only Sri Lanka prices are slowly dipping down from the ridiculous highs caused by low crops and Ramadan. However Sri Lanka still remains the highest by far!
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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