El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
Supply glut continues to weight both crude and edible oil markets. More concerning though is the sluggish demand which could be a forewarning of global slowdown for next year. On Monday the Chair of the Malaysian Palm Oil Council predicted that Palm will stay low now till the year end. But by then El Nino should start to impact on supply so we should start to see prices start to level out at least.
Desiccated has been weaker recently as supply remains very good and tales of some shippers selling at low prices due to high stock positions. But other shippers have stronger sales for Sept and Oct so keeping prices pegged for now at least. BRC 7 with its greater emphasis on supply chain awareness is also helping stronger sales in the Philippines due to their expertise with quality documentation.
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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