El Niño Climate Alert & Market Impact Analysis
May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
The predication that Palm oil will rise all the way through till the summer was made by a number of sources and that we could see record prices levels come June/July. Well Palm has pretty much climbed since that point pushing up other edible oils in its wake. The current dry weather in Asia has been to blame as we see lower crops and so inventories dropping. Coconut oil has risen this week over $100 or over 15% which is really pushing up desiccated prices. Dry weather in the Philippines along with strong sales seem to be to blame. Continued shortages of raw nuts looks set to keep prices firm for some time.
Desiccated prices have risen sharply this week as nervous buyers worried about even higher prices to come book as far forward as possible. But with stories that some major companies are still uncovered there is plenty of buyers out there. Some buyers are rather annoyed that they have missed the lower price levels. What will be interesting is will next week see even higher prices? Certainly is coconut oil goes above the $1700 level that looks almost definite.
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May 13, 2026
⚠ ELEVATED SUPPLY RISK: Super El Niño Developing PAGASA has placed the probability of a…
May 11, 2026
Strait of Hormuz, energy and edible oils. Markets are still reflecting a geopolitical risk premium…
May 5, 2026
PHILIPPINE ENERGY CRISIS: THE RIPPLE EFFECT ON COCONUT MARKETS The Philippines has been navigating a…
April 29, 2026
Philippines: Copra and Coconut Oil—cash market firms, but still well below last year Philippine copra…
April 22, 2026
Fallout from the War in Iran The Strait of Hormuz closure, now in its eighth…
April 8, 2026
Geopolitics: ceasefire, but the fuel aftershock remains A crucial geopolitical event occurred overnight on April…
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